COVID-19

Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England

**Background:** Predicting bed occupancy for hospitalised patients with COVID-19 requires understanding of length of stay (LoS) in particular bed types. LoS can vary depending on the patient’s “bed pathway” - the sequence of transfers of individual …

Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 dynamics using automated trend fitting and anomaly detection

As several countries gradually release social distancing measures, rapid detection of new localized COVID-19 hotspots and subsequent intervention will be key to avoiding large-scale resurgence of transmission. We introduce ASMODEE (automatic …

Analysis of temporal trends in potential COVID-19 cases reported through NHS Pathways England

The National Health Service (NHS) Pathways triage system collates data on enquiries to 111 and 999 services in England. Since the 18th of March 2020, these data have been made publically available for potential COVID-19 symptoms self-reported by …

Antimicrobial resistance and COVID-19: Intersections and implications

Before the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic began, antimicrobial resistance (AMR) was among the top priorities for global public health. Already a complex challenge, AMR now needs to be addressed in a changing healthcare landscape. Here, we …

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks

**Background:** Contact tracing has the potential to control outbreaks without the need for stringent physical distancing policies, e.g. civil lockdowns. Unlike forward contact tracing, backward contact tracing identifies the source of newly …

What settings have been linked to SARS-CoV-2 transmission clusters?

**Background:** Concern about the health impact of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has resulted in widespread enforced reductions in people’s movement (“lockdowns”). However, there are increasing concerns about the severe economic and wider societal …